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RIVER FORECAST

 
 FGUS56 KRSA 232133
 RVFSJ 
 
 SAN JOAQUIN RIVER SYSTEM FORECAST                 
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
 CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
 132 PM PLT MON NOV 23 2009
 
 NEXT ISSUANCE:     TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 24, 2009 AT  8AM PLT
 
 FORECASTS THROUGH: SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 28, 2009 AT  4AM PLT
 
 ***********************************************************************
 SITUATION SUMMARY:
 ALL LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS
 
 ***********************************************************************
 RIVER                                                                 
    LOCATION               STAGE    FLOW      TIME    DATE         LEAD
    (NWSLI)                (FT)     (CFS)     (PT)  (MM/DD/YY)     TIME 
 --------------------      -----  --------    ----  ----------    ------
 SAN JOAQUIN RIVER    OBS   49.1      464 AT   1PM   11/23/09      (48) 
    NEWMAN            >MS   63.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
    (NWMC1)           >FS   69.4          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      >DS   70.4          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      MAX   49.2      491 AT   1PM   11/24/09 IN  23 HRS
 
 SAN JOAQUIN RIVER    OBS   32.0      547 AT   1PM   11/23/09      (48) 
    PATTERSON         >MS   48.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
    (PATC1)           >FS   54.7          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      >DS   55.7          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      MAX   32.2      612 AT   9PM   11/25/09 IN  55 HRS
 
 SAN JOAQUIN RIVER    OBS    8.7    1,260 AT   1PM   11/23/09      (48) 
    VERNALIS          >MS   24.5          NOT EXPECTED                  
    (VNSC1)           >FS   29.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      >DS   29.5          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      MAX    8.8    1,310 AT   7PM   11/24/09 IN  29 HRS
 
 SAN JOAQUIN RIVER    OBS    4.2      292 AT   1PM   11/23/09      (48) 
    MOSSDALE          >MS   19.5          NOT EXPECTED                  
    (MOSC1)           >FS   28.5          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      >DS   29.5          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      MIN    4.2      292 AT  CURRENT TIME              
                      MAX    4.5      408 AT   4AM   11/27/09 IN  86 HRS
 
 MERCED RIVER         OBS    1.6       56 AT   1PM   11/23/09      (24) 
    POHONO BRIDGE     >FS   10.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
    (POHC1)           MAX    1.6       56 AT  CURRENT TIME              
 
 MERCED RIVER         OBS   57.4      249 AT   1PM   11/23/09      (36) 
    STEVINSON         >MS   67.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
    (STVC1)           >FS   71.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      MAX   57.4      249 AT  CURRENT TIME              
 
 TUOLUMNE RIVER       OBS   38.4      256 AT   1PM   11/23/09      (24) 
    MODESTO           >MS   50.5          NOT EXPECTED                  
    (MDSC1)           >FS   55.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      MAX   38.5      281 AT  CURRENT TIME              
 
 STANISLAUS RIVER     OBS    2.5      288 AT   1PM   11/23/09      (36) 
    ORANGE BLOSSOM    >MS   13.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
    (OBBC1)           >FS   16.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      MAX    2.5      288 AT  CURRENT TIME              
 
 MOKELUMNE RIVER      OBS    4.8          AT   1PM   11/23/09      (24) 
    BENSON FERRY      >MS   12.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
    (THTC1)           >FS   17.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      MAX    5.1          AT   3PM   11/27/09 IN  97 HRS
 
 COSUMNES RIVER       OBS    2.7       28 AT   1PM   11/23/09      (24) 
    MICHIGAN BAR      >MS    7.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
    (MHBC1)           >FS   12.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      MAX    2.7       28 AT  CURRENT TIME              
 
 COSUMNES RIVER       OBS   27.6       52 AT   1PM   11/23/09      (24) 
    MCCONNELL         >MS   40.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
    (MCNC1)           >FS   46.0          NOT EXPECTED                  
                      MAX   27.6       52 AT  CURRENT TIME              
 
 DEFINITIONS:
 OBS   MOST RECENT OBSERVATION (MAY BE ESTIMATED)
 MS    MONITOR STAGE
 FS    FLOOD STAGE
 DS    DANGER STAGE (LEVEED LOCATIONS ONLY)
 MIN   MINIMUM FORECAST WITHIN PERIOD
 MAX   MAXIMUM FORECAST WITHIN PERIOD
 LEAD TIME  FORECASTS WITHIN THIS PERIOD (HOURS) ARE CONSIDERED
            RELIABLE ENOUGH TO INITIATE PHYSICAL MITIGATION EFFORTS.
 *     EVENT EXCEEDS MS/FS/DS WITHIN LEAD TIME PERIOD
 
 SIM   11/23/2009 @ 1332P
 
 NOTE:  ALL TIMES IN SHEF ENCODED MESSAGES BELOW ARE UTC
 
 .A  NWMC1 20091123 Z DH21/HG   49.1
 .ER NWMC1 20091123 Z DH22/DC200911232129/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
 .ER1  /  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1
 .ER2  /  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1
 .ER3  /  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2
 .ER4  /  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2
 .ER5  /  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2
 .ER6  /  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2
 .ER7  /  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2
 .ER8  /  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2
 .ER9  /  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.2/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1
 .ER10 /  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1
 .ER11 /  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1/  49.1
 .ER12 /  49.1
 
 .A  PATC1 20091123 Z DH21/HG   32.0
 .ER PATC1 20091123 Z DH22/DC200911232131/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
 .ER1  /  32.0/  32.0/  32.0/  32.0/  32.0/  32.0/  32.0/  32.0/  32.0/  32.0
 .ER2  /  32.0/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1
 .ER3  /  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1
 .ER4  /  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1
 .ER5  /  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1
 .ER6  /  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.1/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2
 .ER7  /  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2
 .ER8  /  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2
 .ER9  /  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2
 .ER10 /  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2
 .ER11 /  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2/  32.2
 .ER12 /  32.2
 
 .A  VNSC1 20091123 Z DH21/HG    8.7
 .ER VNSC1 20091123 Z DH22/DC200911232131/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
 .ER1  /   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7
 .ER2  /   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7
 .ER3  /   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.8
 .ER4  /   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8
 .ER5  /   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8
 .ER6  /   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8
 .ER7  /   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8
 .ER8  /   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8
 .ER9  /   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8
 .ER10 /   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8
 .ER11 /   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8
 .ER12 /   8.8
 
 .A  MOSC1 20091123 Z DH21/HG    4.2
 .ER MOSC1 20091123 Z DH22/DC200911232131/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
 .ER1  /   4.2/   4.2/   4.2/   4.2/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3
 .ER2  /   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3
 .ER3  /   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3
 .ER4  /   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3
 .ER5  /   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4
 .ER6  /   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4
 .ER7  /   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4
 .ER8  /   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4
 .ER9  /   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5
 .ER10 /   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5
 .ER11 /   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5
 .ER12 /   4.5
 
 .A  POHC1 20091123 Z DH21/HG    1.6
 .ER POHC1 20091123 Z DH22/DC200911232129/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
 .ER1  /   1.6/   1.6/   1.6/   1.6/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5
 .ER2  /   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5
 .ER3  /   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5
 .ER4  /   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5
 .ER5  /   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5
 .ER6  /   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5
 .ER7  /   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5
 .ER8  /   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5
 .ER9  /   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5
 .ER10 /   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5
 .ER11 /   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5/   1.5
 .ER12 /   1.5
 
 .A  STVC1 20091123 Z DH21/HG   57.4
 .ER STVC1 20091123 Z DH22/DC200911232129/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
 .ER1  /  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4
 .ER2  /  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4
 .ER3  /  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4
 .ER4  /  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4
 .ER5  /  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4
 .ER6  /  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4
 .ER7  /  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4
 .ER8  /  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4
 .ER9  /  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4
 .ER10 /  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4
 .ER11 /  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4/  57.4
 .ER12 /  57.4
 
 .A  MDSC1 20091123 Z DH21/HG   38.4
 .ER MDSC1 20091123 Z DH22/DC200911232131/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
 .ER1  /  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5
 .ER2  /  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5
 .ER3  /  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5
 .ER4  /  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5
 .ER5  /  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5
 .ER6  /  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5
 .ER7  /  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5
 .ER8  /  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5
 .ER9  /  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5
 .ER10 /  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5
 .ER11 /  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5/  38.5
 .ER12 /  38.5
 
 .A  OBBC1 20091123 Z DH21/HG    2.5
 .ER OBBC1 20091123 Z DH22/DC200911232131/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
 .ER1  /   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5
 .ER2  /   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5
 .ER3  /   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5
 .ER4  /   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5
 .ER5  /   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5
 .ER6  /   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5
 .ER7  /   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5
 .ER8  /   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5
 .ER9  /   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5
 .ER10 /   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5
 .ER11 /   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5/   2.5
 .ER12 /   2.5
 
 .A  THTC1 20091123 Z DH21/HG    4.8
 .ER THTC1 20091123 Z DH22/DC200911232132/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
 .ER1  /   4.7/   4.4/   4.3/   4.1/   3.9/   3.7/   3.9/   4.3/   4.5/   4.7
 .ER2  /   4.5/   4.3/   4.0/   3.7/   3.4/   3.2/   2.8/   2.6/   2.7/   3.1
 .ER3  /   3.5/   4.0/   4.5/   4.8/   4.9/   4.8/   4.5/   4.2/   3.8/   3.6
 .ER4  /   3.5/   3.6/   4.0/   4.3/   4.5/   4.4/   4.2/   3.9/   3.6/   3.3
 .ER5  /   2.9/   2.7/   2.6/   2.8/   3.2/   3.8/   4.3/   4.7/   4.8/   4.7
 .ER6  /   4.5/   4.2/   3.9/   3.5/   3.3/   3.2/   3.3/   3.6/   4.0/   4.3
 .ER7  /   4.4/   4.3/   4.0/   3.6/   3.1/   2.8/   2.7/   2.8/   3.2/   3.6
 .ER8  /   4.1/   4.6/   4.8/   4.9/   4.9/   4.6/   4.2/   3.7/   3.3/   3.0
 .ER9  /   2.9/   3.0/   3.4/   3.8/   4.2/   4.3/   4.2/   4.0/   3.6/   3.3
 .ER10 /   3.0/   2.9/   3.0/   3.5/   4.0/   4.6/   4.9/   5.1/   5.0/   4.8
 .ER11 /   4.4/   3.9/   3.5/   3.1/   2.8/   2.6/   2.8/   3.3/   3.8/   4.2
 .ER12 /   4.4
 
 .A  MHBC1 20091123 Z DH21/HG    2.7
 .ER MHBC1 20091123 Z DH22/DC200911232132/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
 .ER1  /   2.7/   2.7/   2.7/   2.7/   2.7/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6
 .ER2  /   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6
 .ER3  /   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6
 .ER4  /   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6
 .ER5  /   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6
 .ER6  /   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6
 .ER7  /   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6
 .ER8  /   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6
 .ER9  /   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6
 .ER10 /   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6
 .ER11 /   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6/   2.6
 .ER12 /   2.6
 
 .A  MCNC1 20091123 Z DH21/HG   27.6
 .ER MCNC1 20091123 Z DH22/DC200911232132/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
 .ER1  /  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6
 .ER2  /  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.6/  27.5
 .ER3  /  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5
 .ER4  /  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5
 .ER5  /  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5
 .ER6  /  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5
 .ER7  /  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5
 .ER8  /  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5
 .ER9  /  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5
 .ER10 /  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5
 .ER11 /  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5
 .ER12 /  27.5
 
 END

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