ROUTINE FIRE WX PLANNING FCST(WITH/WITHOUT 6-10 DAY OUTLOOK)
FNUS55 KPSR 231252
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
552 AM MST MON NOV 23 2009
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CENTERED TO OUR WEST WILL GIVE OUR AREA A DRY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TODAY INTO TUESDAY. SKIES WILL BE CLEAR EXCEPT
FOR SOME MINOR AMOUNTS OF HIGH THIN CLOUDS. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT...EXCEPT FOR BREEZINESS DOWN THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.
TEMPERATURES WILL CHANGE LITTLE AND REMAIN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMALS. VERY DRY AIR WILL BE IN PLACE WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES LOWERING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVER MOST OF THE LOWER
DESERT BY TUESDAY.
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-240100-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
552 AM MST MON NOV 23 2009
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................69-76.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................13-18 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT VARIABLE OR DOWNSLOPE BECOMING
NORTHWEST OR UPSLOPE 5 TO 15 MPH BY
AFTERNOON.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 5 KNOTS.
DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.................39-49.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MAX HUMIDITY....................26-41 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
5 TO 10 MPH OR LIGHT DOWNSLOPE AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................68-76.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTHEAST 5 KNOTS.
DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR.
.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 39-49. HIGHS 71-78. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-51. HIGHS 74-81. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-53. HIGHS 72-79. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-51. HIGHS 68-75.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 36-50. HIGHS 61-65.
$$
AZZ133-240100-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
552 AM MST MON NOV 23 2009
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................60-73.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................12-17 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.................19-44.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MAX HUMIDITY....................23-56 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................12 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................61-74.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 19-47. HIGHS 61-75. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 21-49. HIGHS 65-77. EAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 24-49. HIGHS 63-75. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 21-49. HIGHS 58-71.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 21-46. HIGHS 50-62.
$$
AZZ131-CAZ231-240100-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
552 AM MST MON NOV 23 2009 /452 AM PST MON NOV 23 2009/
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................72-76.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................14-19 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTH 11 KNOTS.
DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.................43-52.
24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY....................24-31 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................22 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................70-74.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTH 12 KNOTS.
DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.
.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 40-51. HIGHS 72-77. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-53. HIGHS 75-79. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-53. HIGHS 73-77. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-53. HIGHS 69-73.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39-52. HIGHS 62-66.
$$
CAZ230-240100-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
452 AM PST MON NOV 23 2009
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................59-71.
24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY....................16-21 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.................40-49.
24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY....................25-32 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................15 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................58-70.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 39-49. HIGHS 62-73. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 39-50. HIGHS 66-76. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-50. HIGHS 64-74. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-51. HIGHS 59-70.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 36-51. HIGHS 52-59.
$$
CAZ232-240100-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
452 AM PST MON NOV 23 2009
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................68-78.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................14-20 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.................47-54.
24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY....................22-45 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................18 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................67-76.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 44-54. HIGHS 70-78. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 44-55. HIGHS 73-80. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46-55. HIGHS 71-78. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46-55. HIGHS 68-74.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 42-54. HIGHS 60-67.
$$
.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...MONDAY NOVEMBER 30TH THROUGH WEDNESDAY DECEMBER
2ND...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.