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Pacific Northwest Weather Workshop - 2009
Pacific Northwest Weather Workshop – 2009
20 and 21 March 2009
Building 9
Auditorium
NOAA Western
Regional Campus
7600 Sand Point
Way, Seattle, WA 98115
Friday, 20 March
12
- 1 PM Registration
1:05-1:15 Welcome and Meeting Plans – Brad Colman
Meteorologist in Charge,
NOAA/NWS WFO Seattle
Flooding and Streamflow
1:15-1:30
Forecasting the Janyary 2009 Flood Event in Western Washington
,
Mark Stoelinga, Matthew Wiley, Eric Grimit, and Andrew Wood, 3TIER, Inc.
1:30-1:45
Evaluation of PoP and QPF Forecasts for a Significant Flood Event in
Western Washington from and Impact Perspective,
Kirby Cook, NWS Seattle
1:45-2:00
Precipitation and Lithologic Factors from the Storm Event of December 1-3, 2007
, in Western Washington,
Isabelle Y. Sarikhan, Department of Natural Resources, Division of Geology and Earth Resources, Washington State DNR
2:00-2:15
Heavy Raingall's Lesser-Known Dangers: Landslides and Debris Flows
,
Brent Bower, NWS Seattle
2:15-2:30
Climate Variability and its Impact on Defining Flood Risk in Western Washington
,
Ted Perkins, FEMA Region X
2:30-2:45
Anyone can forecast like the National Weather Service: How the Bonneville Power
Administration uses NWS software to produce high quality forecast products,
Charles Ross, Bonnevile Power Adminstrations, Portland Oregon
2:45-3:15
Break with refreshments and book signing "Weather of the Pacific Northwest" by Cliff Mass
Air Quality
3:15-3:30
Ventilation Indices and Air Quality -- A Meaningful Regionship or Passing Fancy?
,
Clint Bowman, Deptartment of Ecology, Washington State
Communication, Community Efforts and Eduacation
3:30-3:45
An Introduction to the Community Collaboritive Rain, Hail and Snow (CoCoRaHS) Network
,
Jeff Michalski, NWS Seattle
3:45-4:00
Online Weather Briefing Results
,
Ted Buehner, NWS Seattle
4:00-4:15
More Kids in the Woods
,
Megan L. Syner, NWS Great Falls
Regional Weather
2:00-2:15
City in Fog: Physics and Forecasting of Major Fog and Stratus Events in BC
,
Melinda M. Brugman, Michel Gelinas, Gary Gen and Brad Snyder, Pacific Storm Prediction Centre, MSC, Environment Canada
2:15-2:30
Science on a Ski Lift: A new approach to characterize boundary laer influence atop Mount Bachelor
,
David R. Reidmiller, Emily V. Fischer, Ryan Kangas, and Daniel A. Jaffe, Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington,
Department of Interdisciplinary Arts and Sciences, University of Washington, Bothell
Workshop Banquet
6:00-9:00 Workshop
Banquet at the Talaris Conference Center. 4000
NE 41st St,
Seattle,
WA
98105
6:00-7:00 PM Icebreaker
– no host bar
7:00-8:00 PM Buffet
Dinner
8:00-9:00 PM Special
Presentation: Larry Schick, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Seattle:
A Flood of Problems: An Insider View of the Flooding at Pacific, Washington, in January 2009
Saturday, 20 March
8:00-8:45 Registration and coffee
Northwest Observations, Analysis, and Numerical Weather Prediction
8:45-9:00
Real-time mesoscale analyses and gridded forecast verification at NWS Seattle
,
Brad Coleman and Kirby Cook, NWS Seattle
9:00-9:15
Toward a Pacific Northwest High-resolution Analysis of Record using an Ensemble
Kalman Filter,
Brian Ancell, Cliff Mass, and Gregory Hakim, University of Washington
9:15-9:30
Observing Weather and Climate from the Ground Up: A Nationwide Network of
Networks,
S. Edward Boselly, Weather Solutions Group, Olympia, Washington
9:30-9:45
Update on the University of Washington MM5/WRF Real-Time Prediction System and the
Acquisition of a Coastal Weather Radar,
Cliff Mass, David Ovens, Mark Albright, Richard Steed, Phil Regulski, and Jeff Baars, University of Washington
9:45-10:00
Regional Climate Simulations for the Washington State Climate Assessment
,
Eric Salathe Jr., JISAO, University of Washington
10:00-10:30
Poster Session and Break
The effects of a Warming Climate on snowpack accumulation in the Northern Cascades
,
Nic Wayand, Justin Minder, Dale R. Durran, Gerard H. Roe, University of Washington, Department of Atmospheric Science
A Comparison of Downslope Windstorms in Southeast Washington and Central and Northeast Oregon
,
Mary Johnson, and Jon Mittelstadt, NWS Pendleton
The Localized Nature of a Winter Storm in Juneau, AK, December, 2008
,
Carl Dierking and Paul Suffern, NWS Juneau
Cooperation Key to Monitoring International Air Quality ORCAA Takes Leadership Role with International Air Monitoring Site
,
James P. Werner, Olympic Region Clean Air Agency, Olympia WA.
Dealing with Uncertainty
10:30-10:45
Barriers to the Use of Uncertainty Information in Weather-Driven Renewable Energy Forecasting Applications
,
Eric P. Grimit, Cameron Potter, and Andrew Wood, 3TIER, Inc.
10:45-11:00
Providing Probabilistic Forecasts for Wind Speed using Ensemble MOS
,
Thordis Linda Thorarinsdottir, and Tilmann Gneiting, Department of Statistics, University of Washington
11:00-11:15
Sensitivity of West Coast Forecast Errors to Pacific Initializations
,
Lynn McMurdie and Garrtt Wedam, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington
11:15-11:30
Reducing Uncertainty in Regional Climate Simulations
,
Rick Steed, Cliff Mass, and Eric Salathe Jr., Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington
Regional Severe Weather
11:30-11:45
A Preliminary Study of Cold Air Damming along the East Slopes of the Washington Cascades
,
Ronald J. Miller, NWS Spokane
11:45-1:00 Lunch
(included with registration)
Regional Severe Weather (cont.)
1:00-1:15
The Effects of Mesoscale Forcing on Snowfall Amounts from 14 December 2008
,
Charles Dalton, NWS Portland
1:15-1:30
A Profilers View of a Mountain Wave, Induced Critical Level, and Rotors
,
Carl Dierking, NWS Juneau
1:30-1:45
Pacific Northwest Severe Weather: Where Theory Meets Reality
,
Jonathan Wolfe, NWS Portland
1:45-2:00
Observations of a Wintertime Southeast Alaska Waterspout Event
,
Paul Suffern, NWS Juneau
2:00-2:30
Break with refreshments and book signing "Weather of the Pacific Northwest" by Cliff Mass
2:30-2:45
Three Types of Drought in the Pacific Northwest - 2001, 2003, and 2005
,
Karin Bumbaco, and Philip Mote, Office of the Washington State Climatologist
2:45-3:00
Development of Extreme Avalanche Danger in the NW: A brief case study of the Jan 6-7, 2009 avalanche cycle
,
Mark Moore, Northwest Weather and Avalanche Center (NWAC)
3:00-3:15
Did the MJO Play a Likely Role in the Weather of late December 2008?
,
Nick Bond, JISAO, University of Washington
THE END
NEXT YEAR’S
PACIFIC NORTHWEST WEATHER WORKSHOP WILL BE HELD 5 & 6 MARCH 2010.
PLEASE GET IT ON
YOUR CALENDARS EARLY!!!!
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