AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

 
 FXUS65 KTWC 231617
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
915 AM MST MON NOV 23 2009

.SYNOPSIS...WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL CONTINUE TO PASS NORTH OF OUR AREA
AND BRING OCCASIONAL PATCHES OF HIGH CLOUDS. SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WILL
REMAIN DRY WITH WARM DAYTIME TEMPERATURES CONTINUING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER CHAMBER OF COMMERCE DAY FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
UNDER LOTS OF SUNSHINE. WILL SEE SOME THIN WISPS OF CIRRUS FLOAT BY
IN THE DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. SLIGHTLY LOWER THICKNESS VALUES
WILL RESULT IN HIGHS BEING AT OR A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN SUNDAY.

SLOW WARMING TREND INTO THURSDAY...WHEN THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES OF
THE WEEK WILL OCCUR...THEN THE POTENTIAL TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER
DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MORE ON THIS IN THE AFTERNOON DISCUSSION ONCE THE ENTIRE 12Z MODEL
PACKAGE IS IN AND HAS BEEN DIGESTED.

&&

.AVIATION...SKC-FEW CIRRUS CLOUDS. NORMAL DIURNAL WIND TRENDS ARE
EXPECTED AT THE TERMINAL SITES...WITH SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 KTS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A WEATHER SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL RESULT IN A LITTLE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AS DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE.
THERE MAY BE SOME AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING BREEZES ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF TUCSON...HOWEVER...WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL BELOW CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.




WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON