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ROUTINE FIRE WX PLANNING FCST(WITH/WITHOUT 6-10 DAY OUTLOOK)

 
 FNUS55 KPSR 071142
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
442 AM MST SAT NOV 7 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LOW IN NORTHERN MEXICO WILL DRIFT EASTWARD...ALLOWING MORE
SUNSHINE TO RETURN TO OUR AREA TODAY AND SUNDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN ON
THE LIGHT SIDE...WITH SOME WEAK DOWNSLOPE BREEZES OVERNIGHT. HUMIDITY
LEVELS IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA SHOULD INCREASE SLIGHTLY ON SUNDAY.

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-072345-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
442 AM MST SAT NOV 7 2009

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................81-87.
24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY....................16-25 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 6 KNOTS.
DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.................52-62.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MAX HUMIDITY....................44-72 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................78-85.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................20-27 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 8 KNOTS.
DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 51-61. HIGHS 81-87. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-62. HIGHS 82-88. EAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 79-86. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 49-60. HIGHS 74-81.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 44-56. HIGHS 71-77.




AZZ133-072345-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
442 AM MST SAT NOV 7 2009

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................74-85.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................13-18 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.................37-57.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MAX HUMIDITY....................37-70 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING...BECOMING EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................70-82.
24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY....................20-27 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 32-59. HIGHS 72-85. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 36-59. HIGHS 74-85. EAST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
41-59. HIGHS 70-82. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
32-59. HIGHS 65-77.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
29-54. HIGHS 62-74.




AZZ131-CAZ231-072345-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
442 AM MST SAT NOV 7 2009 /342 AM PST SAT NOV 7 2009/

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-86.
24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY....................18-26 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 5 KNOTS.
DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.................54-60.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MAX HUMIDITY....................49-72 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-84.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................21-29 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 6 KNOTS.
DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 51-61. HIGHS 82-86. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-62. HIGHS 83-87. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 52-62. HIGHS 81-85. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 47-61. HIGHS 76-80.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 45-56. HIGHS 73-77.




CAZ230-072345-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
342 AM PST SAT NOV 7 2009

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................70-82.
24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY....................14-26 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.................47-57.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MAX HUMIDITY....................37-56 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................67-80.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................17-23 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 45-57. HIGHS 70-82. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 46-58. HIGHS 71-83. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 46-58. HIGHS 69-80. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 41-56. HIGHS 64-75.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39-51. HIGHS 61-71.




CAZ232-072345-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
342 AM PST SAT NOV 7 2009

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................78-86.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................18-26 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.................54-61.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MAX HUMIDITY....................39-60 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-85.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY....................20-28 PCT.
24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
LAL.............................1.
HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-64. HIGHS 79-87. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 54-64. HIGHS 80-87. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 53-62. HIGHS 76-84. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 50-61. HIGHS 71-79.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48-57. HIGHS 67-76.




.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...SATURDAY NOVEMBER 14TH THROUGH MONDAY NOVEMBER
16TH...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.




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