ROUTINE FIRE WX PLANNING FCST(WITH/WITHOUT 6-10 DAY OUTLOOK)

 
 FNUS55 KTWC 042204
 FWFTWC
 
 FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
 300 PM MST SAT JUL 4 2009
 
 .DISCUSSION...ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ISOLATED TO 
 SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. AS A 
 TROUGH PROGRESSES INTO THE WEST COAST...DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO 
 ARIZONA NEXT WEEK FOR A DECREASE IN MOISTURE AND THUNDERSTORM 
 ACTIVITY...HOWEVER ENOUGH MOISTURE SHOULD REMAIN OVER SOUTHEAST 
 ARIZONA TO MINIMIZE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
 
 AZZ146-051415-
 ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146
 NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-GRAHAM COUNTY NORTH OF GILA RIVER-
 APACHE NF/SAN CARLOS BIA/SDC-
 300 PM MST SAT JUL 4 2009
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. 
                          SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE 
                          EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND 
                          THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........61 TO 71 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........51 TO 61 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 TO 4 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........65 TO 75 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........71 TO 81 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 10 TO 15 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........30 PCT. 
 LAL......................4 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 
 .SUNDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...PARTLY CLOUDY 
                          IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                          THUNDERSTORMS. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........81 TO 91 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........74 TO 84 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........UP 4 TO 6 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........30 TO 40 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........30 TO 39 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 3 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT. 
 LAL......................2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3. 
 HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............12977 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 7 TO 8 KNOTS. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (103816 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .SUNDAY NIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND 
                          THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........61 TO 71 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........50 TO 60 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........71 TO 81 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........80 TO 90 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 5 TO 10 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT. 
 LAL......................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 
 .MONDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
                          THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........88 TO 98 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........80 TO 90 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........UP 5 TO 8 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........21 TO 31 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........27 TO 37 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 7 TO 10 PCT BELOW 5000 FEET.
                          DOWN 2 TO 5 PCT ABOVE 5000 FEET. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT. 
 LAL......................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............12802 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTH 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 KNOTS 
                          IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....VERY GOOD (89614 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 55 TO 70. HIGHS 84 TO 99. WEST WIND AROUND
 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 21 TO 36 PCT. 
 .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 56 TO 71. HIGHS 83 TO 98. NO SIGNIFICANT WIND
 OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 20 TO 35 PCT. 
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 55 TO 70. HIGHS 85 TO 100. NO SIGNIFICANT
 WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 17 TO 32 PCT. 
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 55 TO 70. HIGHS 86 TO 101. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 55 TO 70. HIGHS 84 TO 99. 
 
 NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 146 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
 TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
 
 

 
 AZZ147-051415-
 ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 147
 SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-
 TOHONO OODHAM NATION-CORONADO NF/PAPAGO BIA/TDC-
 300 PM MST SAT JUL 4 2009
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND 
                          THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........72 TO 82 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............59 TO 69 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 25 TO 30 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT. 
 LAL......................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. 
 
 .SUNDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND 
                          THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........95 TO 105 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............35 TO 45 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT. 
 LAL......................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............11433 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 7 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE 
                          NORTHWEST 6 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....GOOD (68598 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .SUNDAY NIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND 
                          THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........71 TO 81 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............52 TO 62 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 5 TO 9 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT. 
 LAL......................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. 
 
 .MONDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........96 TO 106 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............25 TO 35 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 10 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE 
                          NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............12232 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTH 7 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 
                          KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....VERY GOOD (73392 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 71 TO 81. HIGHS 96 TO 106. SOUTHWEST WIND
 AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 22 TO 32 PCT. 
 .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 71 TO 81. HIGHS 96 TO 106. SOUTHWEST WIND
 AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 21 TO 31 PCT. 
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 70 TO 80. HIGHS 97 TO 107. NO SIGNIFICANT
 WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 19 TO 29 PCT. 
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 69 TO 79. HIGHS 99 TO 109. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 70 TO 80. HIGHS 98 TO 108. 
 
 NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 147 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
 TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
 (3500 MSL)
 
 

 
 AZZ148-051415-
 ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148
 GRAHAM COUNTY SOUTH OF GILA RIVER-TUCSON/MARANA/GREEN
 VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ-COCHISE COUNTY-CORONADO NF/
 SAFFORD BLM/TDC-
 300 PM MST SAT JUL 4 2009
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
                          THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN 
                          A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
                          THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........65 TO 75 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........53 TO 63 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........UP 2 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........75 TO 85 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........86 TO 96 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 5 TO 9 PCT BELOW 5000 FEET.
                          LITTLE CHANGE ABOVE 5000 FEET.
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........30 PCT. 
 LAL......................4 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. 
 
 .SUNDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND 
                          THUNDERSTORMS.
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........85 TO 97 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........68 TO 78 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........UP 3 TO 6 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........27 TO 37 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........46 TO 56 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT. 
 LAL......................2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3. 
 HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............9639 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........WEST 9 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 KNOTS 
                          IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....GOOD (57834 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .SUNDAY NIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. 
                          ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 
                          THE NIGHT. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........65 TO 75 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........53 TO 63 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........70 TO 80 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........77 TO 87 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT. 
 LAL......................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 
 .MONDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
                          THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........89 TO 100 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........76 TO 86 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........UP 2 TO 8 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........22 TO 32 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........31 TO 41 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 TO 7 PCT BELOW 5000 FEET.
                          DOWN 10 TO 15 PCT ABOVE 5000 FEET.
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT. 
 LAL......................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............12144 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........WEST 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7 KNOTS 
                          IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....VERY GOOD (85008 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 62 TO 77. HIGHS 87 TO 102. NO SIGNIFICANT
 WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 23 TO 38 PCT. 
 .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 62 TO 77. HIGHS 87 TO 102. NO SIGNIFICANT
 WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 23 TO 38 PCT. 
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 61 TO 76. HIGHS 89 TO 104. NO SIGNIFICANT
 WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 21 TO 36 PCT. 
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 61 TO 76. HIGHS 91 TO 106. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 62 TO 77. HIGHS 88 TO 103. 
 
 NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 148 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
 TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
 
 

 
 WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
 
 
 
 

Webmaster
US Dept of Commerce
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
National Weather Service
Tucson Weather Forecast Office
520 North Park Ave, Suite 304
Tucson, AZ 85719

Tel: (520) 670-6526