ROUTINE FIRE WX PLANNING FCST(WITH/WITHOUT 6-10 DAY OUTLOOK)

 
 FNUS55 KTWC 130307 AAA
 FWFTWC
 
 FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...UPDATE
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
 800 PM MST MON MAY 12 2008
 
 UPDATED FOR EXPIRATION OF THE RED FLAG WARNING THIS EVENING
 
 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY 
 EVENING FOR ALL OF COCHISE AND SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES AND SOUTHEAST
 PORTIONS OF GRAHAM COUNTY FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
 HUMIDITIES...AND A VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATING...
 
 .DISCUSSION...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT 
 BASIN WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTH INTO ARIZONA ON TUESDAY. THIS 
 SYSTEM RESULTED IN STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
 SOUTHEAST ARIZONA EARLIER TODAY. AS THIS SYSTEM PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS 
 THE STATE ON TUESDAY IT WILL BRING INCREASED CLOUD COVER...MUCH 
 COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... 
 MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AND ESPECIALLY IN 
 THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF GRAHAM AND COCHISE 
 COUNTIES. BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ON 
 TUESDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE STATE. FAR SOUTHEASTERN 
 SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ALONG THE MEXICAN BORDER WILL STILL BE 
 DRY...AND WITH THE STRONG WINDS...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE 
 POSTED FOR ALL OF SANTA CRUZ AND COCHISE COUNTIES... ALONG WITH THE 
 SAN SIMON VALLEY OF GRAHAM COUNTY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF SAFFORD. THE 
 FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY FROM 9 AM MST UNTIL 
 7 PM MST.
 
 AZZ146-131445-
 ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146
 NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-GRAHAM COUNTY NORTH OF GILA RIVER-
 APACHE NF/SAN CARLOS BIA/SDC-
 800 PM MST MON MAY 12 2008
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........45 TO 55 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........35 TO 45 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 11 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........25 TO 35 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........39 TO 49 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 7 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 
 .TUESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                          SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...
                          THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN 
                          THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........64 TO 74 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........56 TO 66 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 10 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........15 TO 25 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........24 TO 34 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 5 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST 
                          15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........50 PCT. 
 LAL......................3. 
 HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............8144 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 13 KNOTS. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (105872 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .TUESDAY NIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. 
                          CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........38 TO 48 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........28 TO 38 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 7 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........50 TO 60 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........64 TO 74 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 25 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE EVENING 
                          BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........30 PCT. 
 LAL......................3. 
 HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW. 
 
 .WEDNESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
                          THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........69 TO 79 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........61 TO 71 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........UP 5 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........12 TO 22 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........21 TO 31 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT. 
 LAL......................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............9927 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 7 KNOTS. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....GOOD (69489 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 37 TO 52. HIGHS 65 TO 80. NORTHWEST 
 WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 16 TO 31 PCT. 
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
 LOWS 38 TO 53. HIGHS 65 TO 80. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM 
 HUMIDITY 15 TO 30 PCT. 
 .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 37 TO 52. HIGHS 71 TO 86. NO 
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 10 TO 25 PCT. 
 .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 38 TO 53. HIGHS 75 TO 90. 
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 42 TO 57. HIGHS 76 TO 91. 
 
 NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 146 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
 TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
 
 

 
 AZZ147-131445-
 ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 147
 SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-
 TOHONO OODHAM NATION-CORONADO NF/PAPAGO BIA/TDC-
 315 PM MST MON MAY 12 2008
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR. BREEZY IN THE EVENING. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........53 TO 63 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............31 TO 41 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........UP 15 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING 
                          BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE. 
 
 .TUESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                          SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........73 TO 83 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 14 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............10 TO 20 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........UP 2 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING 
                          SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT. 
 LAL......................2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............10762 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 17 KNOTS. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (182954 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .TUESDAY NIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS 
                          AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........46 TO 56 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 7 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............31 TO 41 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE EVENING 
                          BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT. 
 LAL......................2 UNTIL 2315...THEN 1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 
 .WEDNESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........80 TO 90 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........UP 7 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............7 TO 17 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............8495 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 6 KNOTS. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....GOOD (50970 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
 .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53 TO 63. HIGHS 83 TO 93. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 9 TO 19 PCT. 
 .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54 TO 64. HIGHS 86 TO 96. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 7 TO 16 PCT. 
 .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53 TO 63. HIGHS 89 TO 99. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 6 TO 15 PCT. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54 TO 64. HIGHS 91 TO 101. 
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55 TO 65. HIGHS 90 TO 100. 
 
 NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 147 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
 TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
 (3500 MSL)
 
 

 
 AZZ148-131445-
 ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148
 GRAHAM COUNTY SOUTH OF GILA RIVER-TUCSON/MARANA/GREEN
 VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ-COCHISE COUNTY-CORONADO NF/
 SAFFORD BLM/TDC-
 800 PM MST MON MAY 12 2008
 
 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY 
 EVENING FOR COCHISE...SANTA CRUZ...AND SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF GRAHAM 
 COUNTY...
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.  
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........51 TO 61 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........43 TO 53 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........UP 2 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........15 TO 25 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........18 TO 28 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 5 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHWEST TO WEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE 
                          EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 
                          10 MPH OVERNIGHT. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE. 
 
 .TUESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY SUNNY. BREEZY TO WINDY. SLIGHT 
                          CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........71 TO 81 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........58 TO 70 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 13 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........5 TO 13 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........9 TO 18 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 2 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH...EXCEPT 15 TO 25 MPH 
                          FAR SOUTHEAST. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT. 
 LAL......................2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............10319 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 KNOTS. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (206380 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .TUESDAY NIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. 
                          SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........43 TO 53 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........35 TO 45 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 8 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........30 TO 40 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........33 TO 43 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 15 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING 
                          BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT. 
 LAL......................3. 
 HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW. 
 
 .WEDNESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........73 TO 83 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........60 TO 72 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........UP 2 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........9 TO 17 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........13 TO 22 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 4 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............8099 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 6 KNOTS. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....GOOD (48594 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 43 TO 58. HIGHS 73 TO 88. WEST WIND 
 AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 14 TO 29 PCT. 
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 45 TO 60. HIGHS 75 TO 90. NORTHWEST 
 WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 14 TO 29 PCT. 
 .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44 TO 59. HIGHS 77 TO 92. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 12 TO 27 PCT. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46 TO 60. HIGHS 81 TO 96. 
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48 TO 62. HIGHS 81 TO 96. 
 
 NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 148 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
 TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
 
 

 
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