Flagstaff, AZ
Weather Forecast Office
FXUS65 KFGZ 222055 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 155 PM MST Sat May 22 2021 .SYNOPSIS...Strong southwest winds and critical fire weather conditions will diminish this evening. Lighter winds and warming temperatures are in store beginning Sunday and lasting through much of next week. && .DISCUSSION...A strong, broad area of low pressure has continued to dominate the weather across northern Arizona today with gusty southwest winds and critical fire weather conditions. The base of the trough is rotating through the area this afternoon helping to keep the pressure gradient tightened especially across eastern Arizona. As expected, the highest wind speeds have been in this area where gusts between 50-60 mph have been reported. 60+ mph gusts have been reported at the Springerville Airport. Farther to the west, winds have been weaker but still gusting in the 30-40 mph range. Red Flag Warning and Wind Advisory products remain in effect through 8 PM MST this evening. A very dry airmass in place, clear skies, and weakening winds will result in freezing temperatures across much of the high country overnight into Sunday morning. Some of our colder high elevation locations like Tusayan and Bellemont could even fall into the upper teens. Be sure to take the necessary precautions and cover your outdoor gardens or bring plants inside. From Sunday through the remainder of the forecast period, a fairly benign weather pattern is expected. With the dry air remaining in place, expect continued chilly mornings early in the week. Area gardeners especially across the high country will want to continue to take precautions by covering sensitive vegetation or bringing it inside. Daytime temperatures will warm over the next several days, reaching near to slightly above normal values by Tuesday. Precipitation chances look slim for the next 7-10 days. && .AVIATION...For the 00Z package...Expect mostly VFR conditions for the next 24 hours. Strong south to southwest winds with gusts to 45 kts across northern Arizona will decrease from west to east between 03Z and 07Z this evening. Before 02Z, blowing dust may create localized areas of MVFR/IFR visibilities from a KINW-KSJN line north to the Utah border. Look for generally southwest winds at 10 kts gusting 20 kts after 17Z Sunday. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. && .FIRE WEATHER...Expect light, generally southwest winds and dry conditions through the period. Temperatures warm five degrees Monday. Tuesday through Thursday...Temperatures will warm another five degrees to near normal Tuesday and will change very little through the remainder of the week. Breezy southwest winds each afternoon and dry conditions continue for the foreseeable future. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...High Wind Warning until 8 PM MST this evening FOR AZZ013-014-017. Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MST this evening FOR AZZ109>114-139- 140. Wind Advisory until 8 PM MST this evening FOR AZZ009>012-015-016- 038>040. && PUBLIC...TPS AVIATION...DB FIRE WEATHER...DB For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff
