Flagstaff, AZ
Weather Forecast Office
FXUS65 KFGZ 260330 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 830 PM MST Tue May 25 2021 .SYNOPSIS...Expect a period of quiet weather with warm temperatures and afternoon southwest breezes through the end of the week. For the weekend, southwest winds look to increase with the potential for critical fire weather conditions. && .DISCUSSION...The forecast remains on track with only slight modifications to the forecasted sky cover based on the most recent model guidance. && .PREV DISCUSSION /1244 PM MST/...A plume of upper level moisture moving in from the Pacific will bring broken high clouds to the region late tonight into Wednesday. Unfortunately, this will hurt our chances of seeing the Flower Blood Moon Eclipse set to take place early Wednesday morning. Otherwise, fairly quiet weather is anticipated through Friday with typical breezy southwest winds and warm temperatures. A disturbance will pass to our north on Wednesday afternoon bringing a slight increase in winds, but gusts should top out around 25-30 mph. For the weekend, latest model guidance continues to indicate a weak trough and associated cut-off low will develop over the Southwest US. Ensemble guidance remains consistent in showing wind speeds near the threshold for critical fire weather conditions. No precipitation is expected. Please use precautions if planning outdoor activities for the holiday weekend and obey all fire restrictions! && .AVIATION...For the 06Z package...Expect VFR conditions for the 24 hour TAF forecast period. Sfc winds generally light overnight and becmg SW10-20g25kts aft 17Z Wednesday. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. && .FIRE WEATHER...A period of warm, dry and breezy weather can be expected through the week. Afternoon humidity will remain less than 15 percent with the Haines Index reaching 5 to 6 for many areas in the afternoon. Friday through Sunday...Little change is anticipated with dry and warm conditions continuing. Breezy south to southwest winds each afternoon with slightly stronger speeds possible over the weekend. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && PUBLIC...JM/TPS AVIATION...Peterson FIRE WEATHER...MAS For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff
