Flagstaff, AZ
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FXUS65 KFGZ 251944 
  AFDFGZ 
   
  Area Forecast Discussion 
  National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 
  1244 PM MST Tue May 25 2021 
   
  .SYNOPSIS...Expect a period of quiet weather with warm 
  temperatures and afternoon southwest breezes through the end of  
  the week. For the weekend, southwest winds look to increase with  
  the potential for critical fire weather conditions. 
   
  && 
   
  .DISCUSSION...The forecast remains on track with very little 
  change needed. 
   
  A plume of upper level moisture moving in from the Pacific will 
  bring broken high clouds to the region late tonight into 
  Wednesday. Unfortunately, this will hurt our chances of seeing the 
  Flower Blood Moon Eclipse set to take place early Wednesday 
  morning. Otherwise, fairly quiet weather is anticipated through  
  Friday with typical breezy southwest winds and warm temperatures.  
  A disturbance will pass to our north on Wednesday afternoon  
  bringing a slight increase in winds, but gusts should top out 
  around 25-30 mph. 
   
  For the weekend, latest model guidance continues to indicate a  
  weak trough and associated cut-off low will develop over the  
  Southwest US. Ensemble guidance remains consistent in showing wind 
  speeds near the threshold for critical fire weather conditions.  
  No precipitation is expected. Please use precautions if planning  
  outdoor activities for the holiday weekend and obey all fire  
  restrictions! 
   
  && 
   
  .AVIATION...For the 00Z package...VFR conditions will prevail  
  through the next 24 hours. S to SW 10-15 kts...then becoming light  
  after 02Z. SW winds 10-20kt will develop after 17Z. High clouds will  
  increase this evening and remain through the forecast period.  
  Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. 
   
  && 
   
  .FIRE WEATHER...A period of warm, dry and breezy weather can be  
  expected through the week. Afternoon humidity will remain less than  
  15 percent with the Haines Index reaching 5 to 6 for many areas in  
  the afternoon. 
   
  Friday through Sunday...Little change is anticipated with dry and  
  warm conditions continuing. Breezy south to southwest winds each  
  afternoon with slightly stronger speeds possible over the weekend. 
   
  && 
   
  .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. 
   
  && 
   
  
 
 PUBLIC...TPS
 AVIATION...MAS
 FIRE WEATHER...MAS
 
 
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